The future of nuclear energy to 2030 and its implications for safety, security and nonproliferation : Nuclear nonproliferation

The purpose of this project was three-fold: ers are spurring existing and aspiring nuclear states to • to investigate the likely size, shape and nature of the develop nuclear energy, economic and other constraints purported nuclear energy revival to 2030 – not to are likely to limit a “revival.” Part 1 discusses the drivers make a judgment on the merits of nuclear energy, but and challenges in det [...] In par- the nuclear revival ― in the form predicted in Part one ticular the nonproliferation community on the one hand, ― for global governance in the key areas, respectively, and the safety and security communities on the other, of safety, security and weapons nonproliferation. [...] Hence the initial trade-off between the peaceful uses of nuclear energy and nuclear nonproliferation ― with all of The link between civilian nuclear energy and nuclear its complications and contradictions ― was struck in the weapons proliferation has been an abiding one since the first decade after the dropping of nuclear weapons on Hi- dawn of the nuclear age. [...] Scientific and Technological The Link between Expertise and Training Civilian Nuclear The extent to which a nuclear energy neophyte will gain scientific expertise and experience from obtaining a nuclear Energy and the Bomb power reactor depends on the existing capabilities of the country concerned and the manner in which the reactor is acquired. [...] As in the case of the fight against global ter- powers of the day, the US, the UK and the Soviet Union, rorism, the nonproliferation regime needs to keep ahead all of which subsequently resisted major changes by the of the ingenuity of those who would misuse technology NNWS, the commitment to nuclear disarmament is the intended for peaceful purposes.