The future of nuclear energy to 2030 and its implications for safety, security and nonproliferation

Canada, with its special expertise in the areas of nuclear safety, security and in nuclear technology and its long history of engagement nonproliferation; and in the construction of effective global governance in this • to make recommendations to policy makers in area, is particularly well placed to help deal with the new Canada and abroad on ways to strengthen global challenges on the horizon. [...] While key drivers are spurring existing and aspiring • to investigate the likely size, shape and nature of the nuclear states to develop nuclear energy, economic and purported nuclear energy revival to 2030 – not to other constraints are likely to limit a “revival.” Part 1 make a judgment on the merits of nuclear energy, but discusses the drivers and challenges in detail. [...] The launch of the Global Nuclear Energy The nuclear industry, in the doldrums since the 1979 Partnership (GNEP) and the Generation IV International Three Mile Island accident and the 1986 Chernobyl Forum (GIF) has added to the enthusiasm. [...] The Drivers The IAEA, the most authoritative international source of information on nuclear energy, predicted in August 2009, as its high scenario, a doubling of global nuclear power capacity by 2030, from the current 372 gigawatts The three most important drivers of the current electric (GWe)3 to 807 GWe; it assumes an end to the revival of interest in nuclear energy are: the perceived present fi [...] The international climate change regime is currently The British government in laying out the case for based on the 1997 Kyoto Protocol to the 1992 United “new build” in the UK has used this justification most Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change explicitly of any government, claiming that: “Set against 20 Part 1: The Future of Nuclear Energy to 2030 cigionline.org The Future of Nuclear