Neighbourhood characteristics and the distribution of crime on the Island of Regina : Caractéristiques des quartiers et répartition de la criminalité à Regina

In order to achieve the highest degree of compatibility between neighbourhood characteristics derived from the Census and crime information, the description and explanation of spatial patterns of crime in this study are based on police and Census data from the year 2001. [...] In Regina, much of the reported crime in 2001 was clustered in neighbourhoods that are in the downtown and north central areas, located near the centre of the city. [...] As a result, using only the residential population in the calculation of crime rates means that much of the population at risk of being a victim of crime is neglected and crime rates are artificially inflated because of the small residential populations being used. [...] The R-squared values indicate that the explanatory variables included in the models account for 74% of the variation in violent crime rates and 59% of the variation in property crime rates. [...] When the proportion of Aboriginal people in a neighbourhood is modelled with crime rates, this variable alone explains 34% of the variation in property crime rates and 53% of the variation of violent crime rates in neighbourhood.