Year Year ER Hospital The graph on the right of Figure 1 shows the annual net benefit of the AP program over the next 30 years, taking into consideration program costs. [...] For the AP program, the health metrics that were used to evaluate the benefits of the program included the costs and/or costs prevented on healthcare utilization associated with:. [...] That is, even if the fraction of 80-year- old women requiring long-term care remains constant, the increase in the absolute number of beds required will grow as the population grows, and the increased fraction of the population that 80-year-old women make up as the mean age of Canadians increases means it will grow faster than the population itself. [...] As long as the number of falls scales with the number of hospitalizations – and we assume that the falls prevented by the intervention are representative of the hospitalization-producing falls in general -- a 10% decrease in the number of falls will generate a 10% decrease in the number of corresponding hospitalizations. [...] While the ER visit counts were harder to estimate, the same rule applies: under the assumption that they are generated as some ratio of the total number of falls, the fractional change expected is independent of the absolute number of falls.