cover image: Exploring what a 'hard landing' in China would mean for the Canadian economy

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Exploring what a 'hard landing' in China would mean for the Canadian economy

14 Mar 2011

Research by the IMF materials stocks, with market capitalization accounting for suggests that real GDP growth in the rest of the world varies roughly 50% of the S&P/TSX composite. [...] Moreover, the economic models used to derive the global CHINA'S SHARE OF WORLD GDP* economic impact do not account for the current stage of % 25 the economic cycle. [...] The energy and commodity sector is also growth in China would cause a 30-40% drop in crude oil leading the way back toward a trade surplus in the current and other commodity prices – we benchmark the latter to recovery, after having dipped during the recession. [...] The strength of the resource sector – particularly com- The ensuing modest rebound to 7% growth in China in modity prices for energy, base metals, and agriculture – 2013 would normally be accompanied by a partial recovery has been fuelled by robust economic growth in emerging in commodity prices. [...] They are meant to provide a rough (price of exports relative to the price of imports) and gross assessment of the impact of a Chinese recession, but the domestic income.
china economics economy finance recession monetary policy international trade canada economic growth investments prices economic indicator economic forecasting economic sector gdp growth stimulus oil consumption consumer spending economy, business and finance economy of canada u.s. economy commodity market economy of china economy of the united states china’s economy canadian economies

Authors

Alexander, Craig

Pages
7
Published in
Canada

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