Human security brief 2006

The international terrorism data have followed a trend The new data, which cover the period from 1946 to 2005, remarkably similar to those of state-based civil wars and geno- reveal that there has been a radical shift in the number of wars cides and politicides—namely a steep but uneven increase starting and ending since the end of the Cold War. [...] But while neither civil wars nor genocides increased in The number of new conflict outbreaks in the 1990s was number in the new millennium, the incidence of international double that of the 1980s and previous decades—a dramatic terrorist attacks shot up almost threefold. [...] There has conflict in 2005, the region ranked second in terms of the also been a large decline in the number of countries in the region number of state-based conflicts and, according to UCDP, experiencing state-based conflicts over this period from 11 to second in terms of deaths from state-based conflicts.17 four. [...] The data show strongly interrelated.24 that three quarters of the perpetrators of violent campaigns Fourth, that in most of the period 1989 to 2005—and with against civilians were also involved in ongoing state-based the obvious exception of the Rwandan genocide—the number of civilians killed in campaigns of organized violence has been Figure 2.1 Number of Campaigns. [...] In addition to the high number of campaigns of one- sided violence in sub-Saharan Africa, Figure 2.2 clearly shows In sub-Saharan Africa there has been the sharp increase in violent campaigns against civilians in the Middle East and north Africa that began in the new millen- a steep decline in civilian deaths nium.