cover image: Estimation of Car Trips Generated by the Arrival of Autonomous Vehicles in the Montreal Metropolitan Area /

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Estimation of Car Trips Generated by the Arrival of Autonomous Vehicles in the Montreal Metropolitan Area /

13 Aug 2019

Next, the quantity of new total daily trips (? ? ? ? ) is equal to the summation of the total new daily trips following the introduction of AV (NDT) and the total new daily trips resulting from the modal shift of PT and active transportation (AT) to AV. [...] Added to the total of the new daily trips that will be made following the introduction of the AV according to the average scenario (NDJ = 253,735), the amount of new total daily trips is thus 318,980 additional trips. [...] This term comes from the multiplication of the variation of the average occupancy rate of the AV compared to the reference scenario (1+α? ? ) by the occupancy rate of the reference scenario (? ? ? ? ? ). [...] The fourth and last equation is the division of the sum of the terms of equations 1 and 2 by those of equation 3, resulting in the number of daily trips in the AV scenario (? ? ? ? ): ? ? ? + ? ? ? ? ? ? ? + ? ? ? + ? ? ? + α? ? ? ? ? ? + α? ? ? ? ? ? (4). [...] Thus, the value obtained resulting from the increase in the number of total licenses will be multiplied by 0.59 in each of the scenarios, accounting for the consideration that an increase in the number of licenses would lead to an equivalent increase in the number of trips per day.
environment economics technology pollution science and technology automation externalities mathematics environmental pollution road transport transport energy production social cost human activities traffic car traffic collision externality self-driving car driverless cars government intervention national highway traffic safety administration numerator autonomous vehicle air pollutioni pollutioni
ISSN
22920838
Pages
42
Published in
Montreal, QC, CA

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