The Sustainable Asset Valuation of the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SAGCOT) Initiative

The assessment of the impacts that SAGCOT will have in the Kilombero cluster will also shed light on whether the funding envisioned in the Kilimo Kwanza Strategy is in line with the goal of sustainable development and of agricultural expansion that will minimize the negative impacts on ecosystem services in the floodplain. [...] SAGCOT Reference and Green Economy Scenarios The SAGCOT scenarios assume the achievement of the targets set under the SAGCOT initiative for the Kilombero cluster, such as the expansion of agriculture land by 51,800 hectares. [...] Population growth will drive the expansion of agriculture to produce the required amount of food, and the conversion of land to settlements in order to accommodate the growing number of people in the area. [...] This reduces the seasonal migration patterns that can be observed in Figure 4. In the SAGCOT RE scenario, people move into the valley (positive immigration) during the rainy season to work in the fields, and move away from the valley (negative immigration) with the onset of the dry season.