War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey-Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare Page 1 by David Carment and Dani Belo October 2018 War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey- Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare T oday’s geopolitical conflicts reflect a desire by some states to gradually, but fundamentally, revise the regional or global system of alliances and international norms to a degree not even se [...] War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey-Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare Page 2 by David Carment and Dani Belo October 2018 War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey- Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare The modern idea of hybrid warfare originated partly from American war studies influenced by the realization that since 9/11, international conflict has become increasingly complex with regard to [...] Another example of moral hazard occurred in relation to the so-called Afghan detainee scandal which only came to War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey-Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare Page 3 by David Carment and Dani Belo October 2018 War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey- Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare light after FSO Richard Colvin revealed human rights abuses despite the Conservat [...] War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey-Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare Page 4 by David Carment and Dani Belo October 2018 War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey- Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare Table 1. Comparison between Grey-Zone and Hybrid Warfare Characteristics Characteristic Grey-Zone Conflict. [...] In 1999, two Chinese military (PLA) officers reflected on this in Unrestricted Warfare, in which they War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey-Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare Page 5 by David Carment and Dani Belo October 2018 War’s Future: The Risks and Rewards of Grey- Zone Conflict and Hybrid Warfare advance the concept of combining unconventional and covert tactics against the U. S. (Liang